The citizen rejection of the municipal presidents of Ahome, Guasave, Culiacán, and Mazatlan adds that Morena as a political option loses points and the PRI gains
Sinaloa .- If today there were elections for municipal president, most citizens would not endorse their vote to the mayors of Ahome, Culiacán or Mazatlan; Nor to the mayor of Guasave – all emanating from the Morena-PT-PES coalition – this is reflected in the survey carried out by EL DEBATE during this month. The only municipal president who maintains the support in his favor is PRI Carlo Carlo Ortiz, Salvador Alvarado [question 5].
When asking the population for which political option they would vote to renew the municipal presidencies, in the evaluation of three months ago Morena was the majority option in the five main municipalities, but this time the PRI grew almost 13 and a half points, to turn it around in Salvador Alvarado and overcome it with 11 percentage points (31.32%) [question 6].
In the rest of the municipalities, Morena lost many points as a political option: 15 in Ahome, 19.4 in Guasave, 16.6 in Culiacán – where the PRI shortened the disadvantage to 8.3 points – and 6.5 in Mazatlan. In the port, the tricolor won five points, placing just under nine units of Morena.
Estrada Ferreiro, the worst evaluated
For the second time, the morena party mayor Jesús Estrada Ferreiro is the worst qualified in attributes, because on a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 is lousy and 10 is excellent, citizens reproached him in everything: popularity (5.05), closeness with people (4.92), leadership (5.03), honesty (5.14), ability to solve problems (5.02) and how to communicate with citizens (4.77) [question 2].
When comparing the Estrada Administration with that of its predecessor Jesús Valdés, of the PRI, the majority felt that the current one is worse, both in the urban area (30.94%), and in the rural area (42.4%) [question 1].
In electoral preference, Jesús Estrada also collapses, since three-fourths of the interviewees would not vote for him (74.62%).
The mayor seems to play against the series of fronts that have been opened by his peculiar style of governing, which has led him to confront anyone who questions him, be it the Legislative Power, the press, the merchants, the settlers who they demand better services or the morena party themselves, who do not see their way of governing well. The police took incentives, and said Culiacán is not a violent municipality [https://bit.ly/30HUFS8].
Mayors, in a tailspin?
Manuel Guillermo Chapman Moreno, who at the proposal of the PT became mayor of Ahome, in this measurement his only improvement is that 38.3 percent of people in the urban area who considered his Government equal to that of his predecessor Álvaro Ruelas rose to 40.41, although an equal percentage in this area considers that its management is worse; and in rural areas there are more who see this Administration worse (51.02%). When asked the Ahomenses if they would vote again for him, 71 out of 100 said no.
Billy Chapman has been heavily questioned by controversies such as the hiring of Gabriel Regino, former Undersecretary of Public Security in Mexico City, as his lawyer for legal and media lawsuits with his attorney-in-law; as well as with the press and representatives of the private initiative. Nor do claims for failures in sanitary and rain collectors in the city and rural areas help you or those affected by tropical depression 19-E last year still do not receive support; while he raised the salary to his officials.
In Mazatlan, the majority in the city think that the government of the morena party Luis Guillermo Benítez is worse than that of the priista Fernando Pucheta (31.11%), and in the rural area they believe that it is the same (29.41%). Even the percentage of those who would not vote for him grew 20 points in August (65.25%). This is because the mayor leaves little to the colonies and communities: the escalation of violent acts and common crimes such as theft have put the issue on the table, and his relationship with the press is very high.
Aurelia Leal, mayor of Guasave, for whom 62 percent would vote in May, fell 21 points. and now the majority rejects it (49.59%). Its management, which was previously rated better or equal to that of its predecessor Diana Armenta, today is considered mostly the same.
She is shaded by her secretary José Luis Guerrero, who is attributed great influence within the commune and has been singled out for alleged threats and intimidation.
The only one that improves is Carlo Mario Ortiz, Salvador Álvaro, who is rated his second period equal to the first or better. 54.34 percent of respondents would vote for him. It is close to the governor and has not generated scandals or controversies.
Comparative: Governments of Ahome, Culiacán, and Mazatlán, worse or equal than predecessors
The perception of the morena party governments worsens over the months, and this is reflected in the latest survey carried out by this newspaper: in Culiacán, most perceive the Administration of Jesús Estrada worse than the previous one, both in the city and in the city. rural environment; Ahome grew, and now dominates the percentage of those who think that Billy Chapman’s management is worse than before, only in the city the opinion is divided; in Mazatlan, in the rural area, the perception of better to equal for the chemist Benítez fell, but the city dwellers see setback; while with Aurelia Leal, in Guasave, they perceive everything the same when in May they saw her better than the predecessor in the rural area and, in Salvador Alvarado, most see an equal management with Carlo Mario.
Ten months after the municipal government started, citizens begin to notice differences, and among them, a possible disenchantment for the morena party appears.
Citizens punish Estrada Ferreiro
For the second time, the municipal president of Culiacán, of morena party extraction and – according to him – close to the president of the Republic, is the worst evaluated in terms of personal attributes, which in one way or another impact on his way of governing. In the way of communicating with the citizens they granted him a 4.77; and in close proximity to the people a 4.92, qualifications that could reflect the custom that the mayor has of fighting with who questions his decisions or his little political statements.
As an example, at the end of June, he blamed citizens for littering on public roads to generate a problem instead of acknowledging that there were deficiencies, and at the beginning of August he told the press: « If dogs bark, we are moving forward » , this before the questions.
In popularity and ability to solve problems they also fail, and this is evident in its unorthodox way of regulating trade on public roads or the differences it has had with its officials.
Security, the main problem in the municipalities
While the Estrada Administration is disapproved of issues such as public safety and public services, the rest of the municipalities evaluated approve of the belly. In Culiacán there are more than two-thirds of the total crimes recorded in Sinaloa, so this issue is the worst evaluated, but the mayor does not help at all by stating that ” the capital is not violent .”
The second worst-rated municipality is Ahome, where Chapman is also reprimanded in security; and in public services the pound for three tenths. Mazatlan is still below seven; while Guasave falls half a point this time; and Salvador Alvarado remains above seven in both areas.
Street maintenance, the main lag
In Culiacán, Guasave and Salvador Alvarado, the greatest urgency in terms of public services is the maintenance of streets.
In the capital, with the greatest urban stain and the most unsettling road traffic, the pavement suffers constant deterioration, especially in the rainy season; while in Guasave and Salvador Alvarado they lack constant paving and rehabilitation of dirt roads.
In Mazatlan and Ahome, the main demand is storm drains, since the rains usually generate serious flooding problems every year.
Beyond the fact that electoral preferences about the mayors of Ahome, Culiacán, and Mazatlán get worse by leaps and bounds, in this last evaluation it is surprising that Aurelia Leal, from Guasave, for whom in May six out of ten would vote for her, she lost her charm, because This time almost half said they would not give their vote. The only one who would vote is for Carlos Mario.
Morena party loses strength
In a measurement of electoral preferences by party or political association, a loss of strength in Morena is confirmed. In Guasave and Ahome it remains the first option, with 48.35 and 44.03 percent, respectively; but in the first municipality, it lost 19.44 units and 15.37 in the second.
The main novelty is the recovery of the PRI in Salvador Alvarado, where it surpasses Morena with 11 points; while in Culiacán and Mazatlan, it also yielded several Morena units, especially in the capital, to the degree that the PRI was placed in both cases to less than nine points.
1250 questionnaires were applied directly to citizens over 18 years old in 120 electoral sections selected by lottery, distributed in the municipalities of Ahome, Culiacán, Guasave, Mazatlan, and Salvador Alvarado, following the urban-rural proportion for a total of 250 interviews per municipality.
The formation of ranges for sex and age was generated according to an approximate statistic recorded by the INE nominal list, leaving 43.81% of men and 56.19% of women. The ages range from 18 to 29 years, with 42.97%; from 30 to 49, 38.99%; from 50 to 69 years, 13.39%; and of 70 or more, 4.65%. The information was collected on the days between August 9 and 17, 2019.
The sample for the federal and state evaluation has a margin of error of +/- 3 and a confidence level of 95%; and for the municipal evaluation, the margin of error is +/- 5 with a 95% confidence level. Coordinators: Gaxiola Shelter and Javier Mezta . Email: [email protected]
While Morena party loses ground as a political option in the five main municipalities, the PRI already exceeds it in Salvador Alvarado and is approaching less than nine points in the municipalities of Culiacán and Mazatlán.
Governments are very similar
The results of this measurement confirm some opinions of political analysts, in the sense that once the first ten months of Morenista governments have elapsed, disenchantment and demand will become increasingly noticeable.
Source: el debate
The Mazatlan Post